Please help me choose the correct tenses. Thanks.
CONTEXT:
The ship is ablaze. It has been hit by a torpedo. The battle is not over, but the damage caused by the torpedo is irrepairable. The speaker knows that the fighting capability of the damaged ship isn't enough to win the battle.
SENTENCES:
1. If the torpedo [HADN'T HIT] us and the ship [WEREN'T] ablaze we [WOULD HAVE WON] the battle.
2. If the ship [WEREN'T] ablaze we [WOULD HAVE WON] the battle.
3. If the ship [WEREN'T] ablaze we [WOULD WIN] the battle.
QUESTION:
Am I right?
In this situation, sentences #1 and #3 would be correct in terms of tense, whereas sentence #2 wouldn't be. As I see it, sentences #1 and #3 can be interpreted as follows:
Meaning of sentence #1: "The torpedo has hit us and the ship is ablaze, so we will not win the battle (it has already been lost)."
Meaning of sentence #3: "The ship is ablaze, so we are unlikely to win the battle (though it hasn't yet been lost)."